Selling an Advantage Play "System" (Long)

I broached this topic on this forum some time ago, so please forgive me - I am wanting a fresh perspective.

With the help of various different resources, I have developed what I believe to be a way of playing blackjack that works, offering the player an advantage very close to that offered by card counting (but without card counting). Also, this method of play in no way whatsoever involves any kind of progression, negative or positive.

I realize many (most?) of you will be frustrated or annoyed by the above claim. I wish I could avoid such, as I respect the knowledge and experience of some of you (hi Don:)). I realize I cannot control what others write in response to my posts, and I also realize some whose input I could really benefit from may choose to not respond to this post. So all I can do is simply request that posts written in response to this post be centered on my primary objective: selling it.

I have decided to sell the strategy because I don't currently have the stomach or the finances to handle the large (at least to me)fluctuations.

Some options that I see are the following:
1) Write a book. However, the downside that I see to this option is that once I reveal the mechanics of the strategy, the only profit that I can make is from comparatively small book royalties.

2) Develop close relationships with players whom I trust and who have lerge bankrolls. Over time, choose 2-3 of these friends to fully disclose the strategy in exchange for a signed non-dsclosure agreement and a promise (verbal or written, perhaps drafted by a 'gaming attorney') to be paid a percentage of the profits they garner from using my strategy - much like franchising.

3) Hire an off-duty professional dealer (as I have done previously) to deal me lots of hands while I employ the strategy and videotape what follows. I would of course use lots of cover to disguise my strategy, and I have considered using colored chips to hypothetically bet with, the values of which change from round to round but have been previously been determined by me and recorded in at least two locations. Perhaps such a video could be uploaded to venues such as "YouTube" and "E-Bay." Of couse, some would doubt the honesty of such a plan.

4)Enlist a high roller to financially back my play in an actual casino, perhaps playing at comparatively low stakes initially.

5)Simply post how the system works on a forum such as this and request that those who win as a result of using it send me a percentge, all with the expectation that those who profit from it may not send me anything.

Of course any combination of the above options may work as well.

I welcome feedback concerning how feasible or realistic these options appear to be, and it would also to be great to hear additional options.

The neat thing about an advantage play "system" is that it can be verified, at least in the very short run. (By the way, a computer simulation is not possible to test my strategy- please don't ask "why?").). One really neat feature is that I am also able to demonstrate how to employ the opposite (if you will) to my strategy and lose more than can be expected through the use of basic strategy.

Thank you for taking the time to read this, and I look forward to your responses!

to your whole proposal is the first line of the next to last paragraph. "The neat thing about an advantage play "system" is that it can be verified, at least in the very short run." -- translation: You have nothing. The short run is completely meaningless. Anything can and will happen in short-term results. That is why the standard is millions of hands of trials. I will abide by your request and not ask why you can not run a computer simulation to verify, but in the absence of this you are going to have to hand play several million trials to have any validity to your results. Anything short of that is just meaningless and a waste of everyone's time.

No serious player, amatuer or pro, will give you the time of day let alone money w/o mathematical proof.

Personally I doubt there is any way other than counting to beat standard BJ w/o additional information.

And I believe there is little left unexplored in the literature for straight counting. The body of work for straight BJ is very mature.

have opened eyes to options that stray from traditional, �proven� methodology. Contact those authors w a generous offer and non disclosure. If they won't consider it, you are screwed.

If you had a system that worked, you would use it yourself to make a fortune and keep it quiet. The fact that you are trying to gain large revenue from pushing this nonsense off on any gullible buyers is proof that you are either a charlatan or severely self-deluded.

I've been called a lot worse, but it is indeed dangerous to not be grounded in reality when playing this game in a real casino. That's why I appreciate how we can air our thoughts out on this forum and thereby expose faulty thinking.

But the fact remains that even though one has a winning strategy, he/she is not guaranteed a successful implementation of said strategy in a real world casino. For instance, within the context of discussing shady 'system' sellers, the Wizard of Odds posted the results of a fascinating computer sim whereby the player had a 1% advantage with a starting bankroll of $100 and another player with the same 1% advantage but starting with a bankroll of $1000. He did the same sims for a player with a 2% advantage and a starting bankroll of $100 and another player with a 2% advantage and a starting bankroll of $1000. Here is part of the text from Wizard of Odds http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/betting-systems/ regarding the results in terms of "grinding" your way to a $1,000,000 "fortune":

"System salesmen usually promise ridiculous advantages. For example, even with just a 1% advantage on an even money bet, it would not be difficult to parlay $100 into $1,000,000 by betting in proportion to bankroll. I was asked to prove this claim so I wrote a computer simulation based on the toss of a biased coin, with a 50.5% chance of winning. At all times the player bet 1% of his bankroll, rounded down to the nearest dollar. However, if a winning bet would put the player over $1,000,000 then he only bet as much as he needed to get to exactly $1,000,000. In addition, I ran simulations with a 2% advantage and for a starting bankroll of $1,000. Following are the results of all four tests.

$100 Bankroll, 1% Advantage

Bets won = 7,182,811,698 (50.4999%)
Bets lost = 7,040,599,544 (49.5001%)
Player achieved $1,000,000 first = 79,438 (83.019%)
Player went bust first = 16,249 (16.981%)
Average number of bets to reach $1,000,000 = 174,972 (364.5 days at 8 hours per day, 60 bets per hour)

$100 Bankroll, 2% Advantage

Bets won = 7,027,117,205 (51.0000%)
Bets lost = 6,751,539,769 (49.0000%)
Player achieved $1,000,000 first = 215,702 (98.099%)
Player went bust first = 4,180 (1.901%)
Average number of bets to reach $1,000,000 = 63,775 (132.9 days at 8 hours per day, 60 bets per hour)

$1,000 Bankroll, 1% Advantage

Bets won = 5,213,026,190 (50.4999%)
Bets lost = 5,109,817,544 (49.5001%)
Player achieved $1,000,000 first = 74,818 (99.0285%)
Player went bust first = 734 (0.9715%)
Average number of bets to reach $1,000,000 = 137,208 (285.8 days at 8 hours per day, 60 bets per hour)

$1,000 Bankroll, 2% Advantage

Bets won = 6,332,837,070 (50.9996%)
Bets lost = 6,084,596,671 (49.0004%)
Player achieved $1,000,000 first = 267,445 (99.9996%)
Player went bust first = 1 (0.0004%)
Average number of bets to reach $1,000,000 = 46,428 (96.7 days at 8 hours per day, 60 bets per hour)
These simulations prove that with just a small advantage of as little as 1% and a bankroll of as little as $100 you can grind your way to a million dollars through the gambling equivalent of compound interest. Yet you never hear of this actually happening. Could it be that these gambling systems don�t work after all?!" End Wizard of Odds text

Though the Wizard says the above would not be difficult, I think he is speaking in statistical terms and not in terms of actually taking $1,000,000 from casinos. It seems to me the casinos would not like someone taking them for that much money, but perhaps it can be done if done in small doses. (It seems that without using a disguise, the casinos may ban the player who is showing a consistent ability to take money from them over weeks or months. Perhaps the player would need to visit 20 or so casinos in order to accomplish the above?).

But Molded Truths: another reason that it is difficult to do the above, and as I mentioned in my original post, is handling the difficult financial and emotional fluctuations en route to the million dollars.