KO math question

Ok... I've decided to buckle down and give this KO system a chance. With my limited math ability, I was looking to see if I am on the right track, here.

In trying to compute the "true" count, I am using this method:

RC - E / D = TC

Where :
RC = Running count begining at zero.
E = Expected count
D = Decks remaining
TC = True Count

Expected count is what I am using to compute this with. Like, if one complete deck has gone by, I would "expect" the count to be plus four.

Will this method arrive at the true count?

If so... in a six deck shoe, beginning the RC at 0, I get plus 4 at 24 (the pivot). But I am concerned with the insurance point. KO gives it as plus 23. But, according to my formula, you can reach a true count of three as early as 20, especially if early in the shoe.

So, it seems to matter where in the shoe you are with unbalanced counts. If I am even close with any of the above, that presents a couple of questions:

Would it benefit me to learn the points in the deck where the true count is 3? For instance, with the above scenario, at an RC of 21, the true count after 1 deck played would be 3.4, after 2 decks 3.25, and after three decks 3.00.

Also... the KO charts for adding Insurance to the Rookie system, give very poor increases in 6 deck games. Could this be improved by taking insurance earlier, as I have described?

I am only intending to play KO Rookie, with insurance at this point. Am I going in the right direction?

Thanks, in advance...

quark...

A couple of observations:

1) The only time that an unbalanced count gives realistic information about the deck is at the pivot point.

2) Regarding insurance: A KO plus-3 count with 5 decks remaining in a 6-deck shoe is actually a TC of plus-3.8. Likewise a KO plus-3 count with 3 decks reamining in a 6-deck show is actually a TC of plus-3.6.

3) If you are going to true-count, why don't you just use a traditional balanced count like hi-lo?

4) I actually use the prefered method of KO and am quite pleased with it. Even though I play single deck games.

5) Regarding your formula for true count. I think in order to true-count an unbalanced count you have to set your pivot at 0. I could be wrong on this one.

Hope I was helpful.

John

On second thought, your formula TC = (RC - E) / D does work.

For the skill level you intend to play you do not need to do a true count conversion. It will not help your bottom line for Rookie by any amount in relation to the work you need to do it.

KO Rookie is as good a super simple system as you will find without adding more effort than you seem to want to apply.

Play rookie as the book states.. The only thing you might want to change is upping Insurance to +4

Other than that the book is a good solid Level one system.

If you must convert to true count, this is not the best system. Use Hi-Low or Zen.

But warning both of these will require more effort than you seem to want to apply.

The correct formula for true coutning KO is

TC=(RC-4*decks used)/(decks remaining)

I do not play pitch games, but true counting KO works very well for me on 6 and 8 deck games. I believe you have to start your running count at 0 in order to correctly use this formula.