Does anyone know if the odds of dealer busting increase or decrease with the count for various upcards (after checking for BJ)? And by how much?
For example, a dealer with a 4 showing would probably bust more often at higher counts, but what about with a 7 or an Ace?
I am particularly interested in the ace....
This is what picked my interest:
I had 8 bets ridding on an 11 vs dealer A with TC +5 (HiLo), 2 decks remaining (6D, DAS, S17). Insurance didn't work (dealer did not have BJ). I doubled down (16 bets on the table), got myself a 16. Dealer busted his ace. Dealer busting an ace is 17% chance under standard circumstances. What is it under high counts, knowing he does not have BJ?
I am just very curious. tried to check with ToBJ or simulations, but the outputs do not have information that can help.
So basically my question is: what are the odds of dealer busting various upcards at different count levels?
Thanks to anyone who can help!!