H17 DAS no surrender Bad Variance or what?

I'm relatively new to counting, however I have been studying the game for several months and feel I have the counts correct, as well as the deviations. I have used CVCX to figure my betting strategy for the game I play. (H17 DAS No surrender 6 Deck Shoe). I have around a 20K Bank Roll. After 142 hours I have won up to 16K and now back in the minus. I feel like the last several sessions I just can't win. I know variance is something we all discuss, however this has been tough. Is this normal or not after this many hours of play. I feel like I am starting to lose more big bets when the TC is +3 or higher than I'm winning. I do have to play through negative shoes because of the casino I'm in, you can't really Wong in and out. There aren't enough tables and they stay crowded. However, that's not where the majority of my losses are happening, it is during those hight TC's. I'm starting to ask my self is it worth it to continue this effort, I have put many many hours into practice and memorization. I have no issues keeping up with the game, counting and correctly making the plays. However, I'm not perfect and I'm sure I've made mistakes along the way. Just looking for some advice from seasoned AP's.

TC 1 = 25 (1 Unit)
TC 2 = 125 (5 Units)
TC 3 = 250 (10 Units)
TC 4+ = 300 (12 Units)

Well... I don't know if you realize this but with a $20K bankroll and the game you are playing, your RoR with 5/6 penetration is about 18% while the more "standard" 4.5/6 penetration bumps it up at over 26%

You may have learn to count but definitelay you should work on risk/bankroll

+1

I understand the risk and the 20K is just theoretical. I have access to more funds if need be, that is just an amount I am willing to risk and lose. This is the only game I have access to right now unless it is a 15min with 1000 max. However the payout it 6:5 which we all know sucks. I'm just trying to learn to beat this game in my area and learn any other ways or skills to come out ahead with minimal risks. 

Ah! You should have mentioned first that it was false Blackjack 6:5

I wouldn't even have bothered to answer.

Only idiots play 6:5 Blackjack!

I think he means that the other game he has access to is 6/5 and he's not interested in it.  The one he is playing is 3/2.  But he needs to clarify.

You have to wong out for bathroom breaks. Ask them how much time you have to grab a snack or whatever. When a new dealer comes on and you need another break, just verify 'it's 10 minutes for a break, right'.  Too much of that and you'll bring attention, so just do it when you're concerned about your chips disappearing.

You could also flat bet and look for dealer errors. Come in and out. Be sure your mistakes are nil. Practice being invisible, chatting, acting drunk, etc... but all of that can bring attention. IOW, improve your overall game and stop pressing for profits.

Then take a trip to better situations....if any exist.  Don't blow off your friends and family responsibilities in the process. You ask if it's worth "it".  What's your definition of "it"? Money, excitement, fun, cash for a family and home? Define that first. Your spread is mighty big and obvious. Curious you're still welcome.

That's not a great game even with decent pen. Surrender is huge for counters (even though it makes a lot of money for the house because unskilled players use it poorly) because the rule is used more often in high counts when you have a lot of money down. Playing a shoe game without surrender usually requires aggressive Wonging and even backcounting to be successful. 

Being it's the only game in town and you are using a spread that will get you heat and eventually get you thrown out of the game, you might want to try a different approach like backcounting where you play less, spread less, but bet more. 

Your results are statistically normal.

Hi, I heard this saying that you are the inventor of a counting system called secret monkey count for beating Spanish 21. This is named after your name Automatic Monkey. Is this correct? I recently started using it for Spanish 21 games. 

I've seen this post in another forum.  I think you are right.