Constantly Losing

I've visited my local casino three times now for a total playtime of about four hours. First trip, bought in $500, lost it all.

Second trip, bought in $300, lost $25. TC never went above a +2 between these two trips. Last night, I went again. Dealers were cutting like 3/4 a deck, penetration was insanely good. TC went to +6 and +7 multiple times, shoes were hot. Bought in $500, went up $290 at one point, then lost $790 in one shoe. I'm starting to wonder if this even works :/. I know I'm playing a winning game, but it's just very discouraging. Loss after loss and my bankroll isn't very large at all so it's a huge punch to my gut every time. I know that the only way to see results is to keep playing but fuck me man

Lost three times in a row and think that's gut-wrenching?? Wait till you lose 10 times in a row, or 15, or 20!

Never play a single session expecting to win. You played a total of four hours!! You need to understand how the math of the game works. For one hour, your standard deviation is 15 to 20 times your expectation. So, be realistic about all of this. It will do wonders for your blood pressure.

Don

Without the flux, without total accuracy,

There is no bucks

Was at a very crowded AC table 25$ yesterday and just bidding my time.  I got lucky with a  high count when 3 friends left at the same time.  Those waiting to play said we could play out the shoe. Spreading just 1-4 I took over 1k in about 2 decks left an 8 deck shoe.  
 

Later in the evening and at the same casino the exact scenario with an even a higher count. Three younger guys left at a same time to go to dinner, with some encouragement from me. I started to spread 1-6 and was playing with only one other player. Lost nearly every hand rest of the shoe for close to 3k.  Dealer and guy next to me got the good cards, I got the bust cards.  
 

just the way it works….maybe should have kept my mouth shut…lol 

For 6D h17, ds, rsa, ls 1.5P 25-400 spread.  Avg win 68, 82.5/hr.  35k 5% Ruin, hr ruin 2,700,  28 hr ruin 12,500.  Expect 9k in 112 hrs play.

How many hands per hour do you use for the calculations?

Thanks,

Phil

I'm using what typical references suggest of 100.

If you're going to commit time and money to this journey think of it in terms of hundreds of hours, years, not sessions, especially a few sessions.

I am only 60-70 hours into my journey, I've inserted my chart to date for reference. I'm down $-2,200 but this is fine. Its within a Standard Deviation and normal. The math of counting is a long-term system, not a one time thing. Trust the math, keep going, you will make money.

All of that being said, this is assuming you are playing a PERFECT game. I frequently test myself out to ensure my game is perfect. If I have a perfect game I can trust the math, and so can you!

You should skip the dates and put hours along the horizontal axis. It would be more informative. Or put both, if you prefer.

Don

Thanks Don, good call, see below.

I am getting a win rate of around $62 per hour (100 hands) with Hi-Lo count and 16 playing variations. Are you not playing below some counts? Trying to see where the difference may be.

Thanks,

Phil

UAPC side count A's full indexes

I can try that. Also, at what counts are the bets increased, and what bet levels?

Thanks,

Phil

1:1 2:4 3:8 4:11 5:14 6:16

I'm up $800 now. Guess it's part of the journey as you all say. My ROR is still pretty high so I'm sure it'll even out eventually. Split 10's versus a 6 at a +4 last night lol. Appreciate yall