Do the systems that claim to help you achieve hundreds of dollars on average per session really work? I have seen several sites claiming this, are these systems worthwhile to spend money on? Here is one I saw http://www.gambling-systems.com/blackjack.html does it work or no? I'm new to blackjack and would really like to know how to play profitably. Thanks in advance.
I will assume the above post is real and not just a means of getting folks to go to the link. Any system that claims it can beat blackjack based on "money management" techniques is bogus, pure and simple. Whatever it costs is too much.
See the below link:
The above, Wattenberger & Bootlegger, are well respected and mean well, but can only tell you about systems that don't work.
Because you're unlikely to have access to a winning system, it's best to follow their advice. Also note, Bootlegger has written a book about BJ and counting and the other Wattenberger is a software developer, that caters to counters only, so both have vested interest and bias towards counting and against non-counting.
Counting has been proven to work and has been independently verified by many individuals and is freely available. No need to pay anyone other than purchasing some well written books.
Even if you did purchase a so-called winning system, you're unlikely to win, unless you thoroughly understand many of the concepts expanded upon by counting authors. These concepts are well explained and apply to all gambling games, independent of the system you choose to use.
When you better understand these important gambling concepts, you'll be better able to judge whether a system is bogus or not.
I have been playing CV for 10 years and won $5,000,000.00. Wattenberger refuses to send me a check for my winnings.
I have been playing CV for 10 years and won $5,000,000.00. Wattenberger refuses to send me a check for my winnings.
You also have the rules set to BJ pay 2:1, Early Surrender, 100% penetration and four extra Aces.
When a system seller touts "money management" as the key to a winning system, you can be sure it is bogus. The only way to win at any gambling game is to identify when you have the advantage and then to put your money on the line. Any system that advertises it can give you an advantage by using basic strategy and money management techniques is doomed to failure. The crucial element - identifying when you have the advantage - isn't there.
As for promoting my own best interests because I am an author, I would point out that I have been saying essentially the same thing about these systems since well before I was an author or knew that I ever would be an author. In addition, I doubt if I will ever make enough money on my book to finance any appreciable amount of play. It isn't something you get rich with.
A counter's count is useless without good money management. In that respect, some would consider "money management" a key to a winning system.
Counters - identifying when they have an advantage - is more a degree of hope rather than a crucial element. They may or may not have an advantage; you only know after the fact. The crutial element is the cards behind the cut card.
I hope you make a fortune on your book, or at least the soothing balm of prestige.
I discovered that he was in cahoots with Cassie. She was showing him her hole card. And who knows what else.
There are ways other than card counting that can give a player the edge in blackjack. However, all of them involve identifying when the player has the advantage. That can be done by hole-carding, sequencing, steering or shuffle-tracking (which involves card counting). There may be other methods of which I am not aware, but they must enable the player to identify advantage situations. These methods require money management in the sense of knowing when to bet enough money in advantage situations relative to your bankroll, calculating an acceptable risk of ruin, and knowing when to either bet small or not at all.
However, the system touted in the linked website from the above post doesn't mention any of these methods. It says you can win with basic strategy and money management. In effect, it is saying that it has a betting strategy that will give you the advantage. Betting strategies alone do not give you an advantage in a negative expectation game. Without knowing when you have the edge, basic strategy and money management will not produce a system which wins in the long run.
Identifying the advantage when you are counting cards is not a degree of hope, it is a certainty. That is no guarantee that you will win at all times. It is no guarantee that every time you identify an advantage situation, the cards that will give you the advantage aren't stuck behind the shuffle card, although in honest games, that will even out over time. It is a guarantee that you will be betting more when you have the edge on the house.
Casinos do the same thing. They devise negative expectation games, that is, games where the house has the overall advantage. That does not mean the house wins every time. There will be individual players who will win big occasionally. What it does mean is that in the end, the casino will win more money than it loses. It doesn't rely on money mangement, it relies on its inherent edge. So do card counters and players who use other methods to identify when they have the edge.
I'll just declare myself the winner of the argument.
I use basic strategy, money management and an X factor(especially now that all the planets are where they should be)(Joking).
What X factor the mentioned website uses, I've no idea.
I suspect he's trying to raise a free bankroll, and if he wins, he probably gives back the money and walks off with the difference. If he loses, he probably closes the site and disappears.
I actually agree with most of what you write. All your pro-counter arguments apply equally well to what I do. And yes, there is a method you're not aware of. Best you not know, because the ensuing book burning might cause an ecological disaster.
"Oh Lord, it's hard to be humble, when you're perfect in every way!"
The person that wrote that song, must have had me in mind and not Wattenberger.
I was wondering... do the systems that claim to help you achieve hundreds of dollars on average per session really work? I have seen several sites claiming this, are these systems worthwhile to spend money on? Here is one I saw http://www.gambling-systems.com/ does it work or no? I'm new to gambling and would really like to know how to play profitably. Thanks in advance.
The casino will always win more hands than the player. The trick is to win the bigger bets while losing the small bets. Counting helps in that regard because it changes the odds. Systems are negative e.v.; they change nothing and therefore cannot win.
