The math gurus are saying that trends do exist, but that no one can pre-determine when a trend will occur. I personally favor the Follow the Trend method, playing on what the last result was. That way when a trend does occur, I will be on it. This way I don't have to try and predict a trend. This method continue to work for me. I have not found anything better except maybe to use card counting for when to double and for Insurance when my count gets to +3 or above.
I have winning years playing this approach, I see no reason to believe that using only card counting or any another method will do better.
Yes, card counting works and over the long run everything will migrate around the median but betting solely by the count it can wipe your bank out in no time. The fluctuations are huge and the reward is minuscule to begin with. If you don�t get the cards on high counts when you double down or split, especially when you split A,A then you can lose a lot of your chips in the process.
If you don�t get the card when you DAS then you are in big trouble. So, regardless of the count I increase by bet only if I won the previous hand and only if I see that the cards run the way you would like in a positive count. If my count is into positive and the dealer is not busting more then normal and if I don�t get the big cards on my double downs and splits then: What good is a ten rich deck?
Like last night for example: Playing in Vegas a great Double Deck following my method and getting up to over $8,000 in 3 hours. Take a break and meet a friend that lure me into another great game on the strip where you have 2 decks S17 and Later surrender. He�s luring me into it that the game is great. I know that game and I know that has the potentially to be a great game.
Well, we both get together to play that game and decided to go purely by the count to �take advantage� of the good stuff in this BJ science so to speak. Well, you�ll not believe the fluctuations and the misery that has happen when the count indicate a rich situation and I get low cards on my doubles. Big TC above +7, I have the max bet out, I get 9,9 and the dealer is showing an Ace: buy Insurance and is no T in the hole. Well, let me split the 9s like the books says and I get garbage ( an 8 and a 7) giving me 17 and a 16. Well, I lost both hands plus the insurance that was half of my max bet, in total I lost 2.5 max bets for no reason whatsoever. Oh!, before entering in that round I didn�t won the previous hand and I dare to bet another max.
Anyway, I reverted to my method of playing after that and managed to recover the damage that I created using the �fine science� of card counting. This happen with me many times when sometime I�m inclined to go back to the �correct� way to play this game.
That's Bunk! That is no science in betting by the count. Win or don't win, that's your gage of how much to bet on the next hand.
Puiu
