I have a question about how to determine the risk of ruin for the following strategy.
I start with 10 units.
My goal is to win 2 units and then quit.
I am playing a 6 deck game S17, ndas, double on 10&11 only
If I achieve my goal of winning 2 units, therefore having a total of 12 units before the first shoe is finished being dealt, I will quit the game regardless of the count or anything else.
If I have not achieved my goal before the shoe is finished I will start the following shoe. However I now reduce my goal to winning 1 unit for a total of 11 units. If I achieve this goal at any point during the shoe I quit the game.
If I am unable to achieve the goal, I start the next show, but now my goal is just to have a total of 10 units. This continues for each shoe, reducing my expectation by one unit, until I either achieve that goal, or run out of units completely.
I am flat betting 1 unit for all bets, but using count to determine strategy.
Any ideas on how to figure this out?
Thanks!

