The side bet is as follows: after seeing the dealer's up-card, you can make a side bet that the dealer will bust out, with a different pay scale based on what the up-card is.
It seems reasonable that this is countable with Hi-Lo, especially with up-cards 2-6, there should be a positive count at which taking the bet becomes +EV.
I found an article on this topic https://www.888casino.com/blog/Card-Counting-the-Bet-the-Bust-Side-Bet. In the article the author suggests it is not countable using Hi-Lo, and even with an optimized counting system for each particular up-card, +EV situations are very rare and slim edge. However he does not provide any numbers for Hi-Lo counts or shoe games.
I'm curious if anyone has run the numbers on this side bet and come up with indices when it tips into +EV, or if you can point to a good discussion on the topic.
Thanks for any information you can share.
It seems reasonable that this is countable with Hi-Lo, especially with up-cards 2-6, there should be a positive count at which taking the bet becomes +EV.
I found an article on this topic https://www.888casino.com/blog/Card-Counting-the-Bet-the-Bust-Side-Bet. In the article the author suggests it is not countable using Hi-Lo, and even with an optimized counting system for each particular up-card, +EV situations are very rare and slim edge. However he does not provide any numbers for Hi-Lo counts or shoe games.
I'm curious if anyone has run the numbers on this side bet and come up with indices when it tips into +EV, or if you can point to a good discussion on the topic.
Thanks for any information you can share.
