To all-
I don't claim to be a statistician/mathmetician, but I have been reading a lot of the BJ literature & posts on the various BJ Boards & have some questions. Regarding the possibility of using a running count on CSM's (King Master Shufflers)- if we assume that the count will average "0" over a million hands, why can't we assume that if we have a very large positive or negative "running count" - say +/- 15 (counting started at the point that we enter the game) that we will start to see a trend in the other direction, and change our betting to take advantage of this expected event? In fact, when keeping a count, and seeing it get very positive + 13 or so, suddenly you get a whole glut of large cards coming out to even the count. Then the "running count" may stay in the range of +/- 5 or so, then take off into a high positive/negative range. It seems that there should be some probabilities where at any point, you can expect the trend to reverse direction (towards 0) a certain percentage of the time. I have also been trying to track clusters of cards going into the box together - and watching to see how many hands it takes to have them come back. Some have obviously reappeared - all three cards, in same order, within a spread of 5 cards, at two decks later (5 rounds of 7 spots dealt) while other groups have just disappeared (got stuck or split up) and I didn't see them for 10+ rounds. I will continue investigating - I think that the quickest way to move the machines out is to find a way to get an edge over them and spread the word.
Good Luck to all.
CD
