my bj sims is for the european blackjack
Six decks
Dealer stands on soft 17
Player may only double on hard totals of 9-11
Player may double after a split
no resplit
No-peek (player loses total bet, including after doubling or splitting, if dealer has blackjack)
early surrender (except with A)
at the same time 3 players follow their own strategy :
player 1 : play the standard basic strategy
player 2 : play the same except standing with 16 vs 10
(when surrender is not available)
player 3 : follow a Risk-Averse basic strategy
witch is near BS except:
- double 9 vs dealer 4-6 only
- double 10 & 11 vs 2-8 only
- never split 2,3,4
- split 6 vs 5,6
- split 8 vs 2-8
- split 9 vs 4-6
- stand with soft 18 vs 9,10 & A
- hit 13 vs 2
- surrender 8,8 vs 9 & 10
over 1000000 hands with a random shuffle the result is:
player 1: edge : -0.45 (the theorical edge)
player 2: : -0.39
player 3: : -0.63
How can we explain the result for player 2 where standing
with 16 (with more than 2 cards) vs 10 is a true BS
violation ?
player 3 reduce the variance for a give back of 0.2 to the casino,
a good deal for a non counter ?
thanks for your opinion.
