It seems that I win a higher percentage of hands in negative counts than positive counts. Of course there are very few blackjacks in negative counts. Am I just imagining this? Has anyone done an analysis of hand win percentages at various counts? To be clear, I am not asking about EV, but rather the percentage of hands actually won.
... Nearly all of your wins come from BJ's, 20's and 19's The formation of these hands delete high cards dropping the count in the process; but IF you are winning at LOW counts you are winning with small cards, ergo the count rises.
Scooter,
Click the link below (for 6 Decks, 83% penetration, 1-8 spread, no cover, S17, DAS, High-Low) and check the column entitled "Excluding Ties Win". From -10 to +10, the win percentage climbs steadily from 45.80% to 51.42%. In fact, the win % is below 50% until the TC exceeds +5. Thus, your observations seems unlikely.
Dog Hand
is the fact that not only doesn't the win % change all that much; but the dealer's break % never changes much at ANY count
Does anyone know how much casino edge is reduced in negative counts when you play according to the card count? I know it'll still be a house advantage, but this might be useful to know when playing a shoe at minimum bet in a negative count, when you don't really want to leave the table.
Clown,
If you click the link below and read the details of Norm's Sims, you'll see that they already use all the indexes. If you want the results using only I18, you'll have to run them yourself.
Dog Hand
Is the optium # of players in a deck game 2?
The optimal condition is ALWAYS heads-up - since if the conditions are good sharing the opportunity is costly, and if the conditions are poor, you are NOT playing.
Yes, if both are you. :) IE if you are more interested in trying to maximize penetration then wouldn't it be better to play two hands _yourself_ so that the good cards aren't eaten by another player?
As Flash said, "head-to-head". Or perhaps here "head to heads". :)
You want the max hands dealt before shuffle. If all the cards get dealt to you, so much the better. Nothing like playing a 1D game, seeing the count get to +6, and the three players around you get the 20/21 hands while you get a pair of fours or whatever. :)
Big count means _somebody_ is going to get big cards. I'd rather it be me... The most money I every won in a single session was about $9500 a few weeks back on an unexpected jaunt to the Beau (2d game). I played with one other player for a good while, but he left suddenly with a good count and the head-to-head for the next 8 hands or so was outstanding. That is where you can make some money.
All the stats I see say number of players doesn't really affect your EV, but most only consider number of rounds, not considering that you can play 5x (or better) the rounds per hour with just you at the table.
