...of losing the first 14 rounds in a row off the top of a shoe, with neutral to slightly positive TC. (6-deck, h17, das, rsa)
It happened to me last night. Am I cursed? I never even pushed during that streak.
Theo
...that if the odds of losing an individual hand (in a neutral count) is roughly 52.5%, then the odds of losing 14 hands in a row is .525^14 = 0.0001208 = .01208% or about 1 in 8,000. Is this a close estimate?
Theo
If you play enough, long strings of losses go from being possible to inevitable. You will even have complete strangers give you the fish eye and remark that they've never seen anyone lose so many hands in a row. The exasperating contraction of one's bankroll, which seems to defy anything you may have thought you understood regarding probabilities and provides proof positive that God hates you, has terminated many playing careers.
Your streak of losses doesn't even earn honorable (dishonorable?) mention. I have lost the first 20 hands after sitting down; no pushes, no insurance, no surrender, no cocktail waitress. The good news is that it was negative all the way, so nothing more than a minimum bet.
If you put in the hours, you will see similar things occur. It's all part of the game. Try to take it in stride. Better for your long term health.
all sorts of patterns of wins and losses are likely and none of them have anything to do with the count. You are just about as likely to lose a hand in a high count as you are in a low count. High counts only mean you're more likely to get a natural or have success in double downs (and the dealer is more likely to bust out his stiff hands).
Whether you win or lose each individual hand that doesn't fit into the natural or double down situation is all a matter of luck. Play as fast as you can to get through as many hands as possible and the swings will eventually approximate simulations. In the short term (100 hours) anything is likely to occur.
...the same as the odds against hitting the Triple 7 on an old Mills mechanical slot machine. Yet I did that 3 nights in a row back when I was a kid and we still had legal slots in southern Maryland. Too bad it was only a 10 cent machine
They happen. I even posted a message about it here, thinking I had to be cheated (july 12). 3 shoes heads up, I only won 6 hands and, unlike adhoc, all were highly positive. Thinking about it now (I`ll remember that beating till the end of my life), i came to believe that it was just a terrible luck...
According to www.m-w.com
Main Entry: loose
Function: verb
Inflected Form(s): loosed; loos�ing
transitive senses
1 a : to let loose : RELEASE b : to free from restraint
2 : to make loose : UNTIE
3 : to cast loose : DETACH
4 : to let fly : DISCHARGE
5 : to make less rigid, tight, or strict : RELAX
intransitive senses : to let fly a missile (as an arrow) : FIRE
