I notice a change in the tone of discussion on this board. The emphasis has shifted from figuring out how to get the money to how to avoid capture. This is a bad thing.
- Most counters lose money to casinos.
- Most people who THINK they're winners lose money to casinos.
- Most people reading and posting to this page lose money to casinos.
- Any casino that bars all counters is nuts. Believe me, they're not all that stupid. Not by a long shot.
- Getting backed off, barred, or trespassed, is not the worst thing that can happen to you. The worst thing is to play to a negative EV.
- Anyone who claims to be your friend, who diverts your attention away from the prime directive -- winning -- is, in fact, the enemy.
Suppose we read three top-notch blackjack books by highly respected authorities. Each has their pet method of camoflage. We decide we want to be REALLY smart and use all the camo we can get. Suppose a really fine counter gets 1.1% over on the shoe game you play. Each pet trick costs 0.4% in EV. This is not unrealistic. The camo described by Andersen, Uston, Schlesinger, and others is far more costly than you'd expect. Where does that put you? Right in the crapper at negative 0.1%.
An advantage player would rather cut off his arm than play long term to a negative EV. If you feel the worst thing can happen to you is a barring, then they've got you hooked. An advantage player has the casino hooked. THEY are playing HIM to a negative EV, and HE can bar THEM any time he wants -- just by walking out the door.
Anyone who doesn't have at least $20K of the casinos' money in his roll shouldn't even consider implementing some of the ideas posted here recently.