I will try to keep this compact but I have a weird problem. I have been working up to a full blast card count and have BS down in my sleep, I am counting based on something I read about that tracks about 80% as efficiently as a hi-lo but with less than half the work. I count all the low cards (2-6) and subtract the number of hands delt at the table from that number, thats my running count. I include the burn card if its low but ignore all high cards. This work great on my MAC playing blackjack gold simulations and when a run a red seven count it tracks generally very closely although sometimes it wont plunge as low or go as high as the full count. On the sim it pays great, works etc. and even if the counts are at odds with each other it appears (limited samle set) to actually work better than a red 7's count. I get this down cold and can do it in front of PC's while talking, drinking, high-fiving etc. and never miss a beat. HOWEVER, the last two sessions (12-14 hours total, not huge sample set). It didnt seem to correlate well with the outcomes at the table. I was winning and losing at the wrong times and it felt like I may as well have been just playing BS. The questions are as follows:
1. is this too weak an approach? The math is there but who knows, I could be wrong. Bet spreads were 1-4 incrementing at +5 and each +2-3 after +5.
2. isnt this basically the same as Goldentouch speedcount (which I dont know anything about).
3. is this a total mistake for an approach, maybe my sim is just to static, or doesnt shuffle random enough, all the computer "players" play absolutely consistently but they each have a strategy that is nearly BS but not quite.
I just felt like I was not really coorelating well, it may have just been the sessions but I'm out 1k X 2 at a green chip table and not happy about it. Thoughts??