lucky ladies
hey rob-
I was also curious about this side bet a while ago. I don't have the exact figures but here is what I know. From the inventor of the game, galaxy gaming's website:
Mathematical Analysis *�
A mathematical analysis was performed on using the standard pay tables for 2, 4, 6 & 8 decks. The following depicts a summary of the Win Frequency and House Advantage:
Winning Combination
Win Frequency (per # of hands dealt)
Number of Decks
2
4
6
8
Queen of Hearts Pair w/ Dealer BJ
114,942.5
76,394.2
68,681.3
65,359.5
Queen of Hearts Pair
5,617.7
3,764.9
3,394.3
3,235.4
Matched 20
357.1
239.2
215.6
205.5
Suited 20
47.8
48.1
48.1
48.2
Any 20
12.4
12.5
12.5
12.5
hands dealt per win:
9.6
9.5
9.4
9.4
House Advantage per wager:
24.94%
24.96%
24.71%
24.05%
USING 6 / 8 PAYOUT ODDS:
30.05%
26.04%
Card Counting Vulnerability Analysis *�
The game was tested to determine if a player using card counting techniques with the aid of a computer at the table could gain an advantage against the House. The computer tracked every card, by number and suit. This was chosen as a "worst case scenario" test. The computer performed simulation of over 3.7 billion hands using various number of decks and deck penetration variables. The analysis showed that without the aid of a computer, it would be impossible for a player to gain an advantage.
However, I do know of a person who got the queen of heart, queen of hearts with a dealer BJ on a deeply dealt 2 deck game. He received 1000 to 1 on $25.
Although it seems you can track the count and moreso the queen of hearts, it is probably unlikely to overcome an edge of between 24.05% to 30.05%.
http://www.galaxygaming.com/products.htm