that counting vs. basic strategy in the short term is almost an even shot. Win vs. lose... but in the long term, counting wins! Or, to think of it another way, depending on your betting amounts, you might win, say, $680 a trip or lose, say, $720. Play this "game" enough, and it will work out with you as a loser... eventially. Here's the catch... "play this game enough" is dependent on YOUR devotion (or lack thereof).