Q: Here is a fantasy �Ocean's eleven� question for you. How much money do you think it would be possible for an advantage player (or team) to take a casino in one night and how would they best go about doing it?
A: Tough question but, conservatively speaking, I would say (based on what I've witnessed in the past 18 years), 35 to 45 units (of your base color cheque) would be a tolerated win by most big casinos, per table that stocked a least $5000 value cheques in the float. You don't want to do this on a table with black as its highest denom cheque. This, in my opinion, would require a team of 5+ people (players), playing solo, attacking single tables and, even once in a while, landing on the same table to shake some heat off each other. Cheap shots, such as dumping a drink on a south bound shoe to eliminate any heat of leaving the table on a deep negative, numerous surveillance department take outs (as noted in the book), a sacrificial 'Griffinite�s' or two circling the pit and attempting to land (always on the opposite side of your team players in action) but never actually landing (acting as heat magnets). A few 'cut in' girls would be needed to take out/turn the floor people (men) in case of over curious or suspicious floor people, a couple of complainers with false claims to take out and bend the ear of the casino shift manager (on any game such as roulette, big 6, etc.). In short, you would have to overwhelm all possible road blocks at the same time, within the same few hours, during the same shift (swing of course between 10 and 2) during the table count (this alone keeps 3 pit suits tied up for over an hour) and hint, hint, most surveillance departments have a tape change during this time frame too. It may sound like a lot but it could be easily orchestrated with a little planning and a decent bankroll and a lot of confidence. As long as the left hand knew what the right hand was doing, the results would almost be guaranteed. Have you looked at a calendar lately? I think a new year is coming soon. All casino departments are over loaded, confused, understaffed, and not able to pay attention to any threats. The New Years weekend is when casino marketing invites all the �BIG PLAYERS� so they're expecting $500 to $15000 cheques wagered with a 2 to 7 unit spreads. If one member is getting too much heat, have another land on the other side of that pit and take out the floor person as if it were an �auction� for attention.
It would be easy to do if planned correctly. The casinos wouldn�t figure it out until 24 hours after the fact. Another fact to keep in mind is that when they do the table count they don't count the cheques you have in front of you. This means that if you buy in just before the table count (the table cheque inventory), the table will show a false drop. This works both ways and can be used for or against you as a team. A false drop will only give the casino shift manager a false statistical hold, which would keep the heat down and all alarms silent until the next table count (cheque inventory). I hope you understand what I'm saying. David Copperfield (the over acting magician) would be proud. Why would anyone worry about cheques that didn't appear to be missing? It would be as if the players were buying their cheques from the cage and not the table they're playing on. Get it? Since the end of swing and on to grave is the busiest shift, the casino, in effect, is pulling the drop boxes and taking the inventory when the players have already reached their pinnacle cheque purchases. This false hold is due to the �numerator� side of the hold (or the win) while the �denominator� side (or the drop) is not influenced proportionately.
So, in short, a victory of $17,500 @ $500 cheques with a modest 35 unit win to $175,000 @ $5000 could be achieved. And that�s per table! Sound far fetched? It's really not. The $175,000 win would require a handle of almost $900,000+. A bankroll of this size will draw some heat no matter where you play but it will be spread out over several pits and times. Don't forget you�re SD, ROR, 6A, and the old frickin bell weather curve.
I've witnessed people win $200,000 with a table limit of $15K x 3 (because they had a 50/50 past playing history). That's $45K per spin! Four rounds of that and you've got $180K. I would be happy draining 5 to 7 tables for maybe $20K to $22K each. Then, like Halloween, I would go to the next door and knock on it. Tell marketing that its opportunity knocking (just don't let them see the baseball bat you're knocking with). Fills, shift change, surveillance tape change, and buying in just before the shift change table inventory. They don't factor in the amount of chips you have in front of you so would it be wise to buy in for a large amount just before the count then cash it out after the counter leave?
To all those fools that are going to discredit my method if not madness of thinking; Do it your way. Take nothing into consideration and just close your eyes and hope for the best (ploppy Syndrome).
How smart are you? Did you see and understand all the hidden messages enclosed?
I'm awaiting the insults.
-Cellini
