chance of getting a BJ
What`s the chance of getting a blackjack, at a TC+5 in
a six deck game(HI/LO)?
Regards, Bill
What`s the chance of getting a blackjack, at a TC+5 in
a six deck game(HI/LO)?
Regards, Bill
but if your +5 occurs about halfway thru the shoe, the chances of getting a blackjack at +5 is 1 out of every 16.5 hands as compared to the 'normal' 1 out of every 21 hands.
A little over a 25% increase in the rate of blackjacks.
Thank you, you helped me very much, I tell you later, why.
May be you can tell me the chance of getting a BJ at a TC+3,too, and
why it depends on the pen.
Regards, Bill
See www.bjstats.com. Click on Tables. Look at the 'True Count/Won Lost' table 'Average Blackjacks' column.
Didn't know those charts existed, I am going to have to spend some time on that site ;>)
Take the total hands at a particular count number and divide by the total number of blackjacks to get your percentage of blackjacks.
My remark about penetration has to do with the effect of removal of the first card in your hand. With a small number of remaining cards, If your first card is a Ten or Ace, your chances of getting an Ace or Ten has increased by 1/(remaining cards). As (remaining cards) gets smaller, your chances for a blackjack increase.
This is why chances for a blackjack are greater in single deck than in a 6 deck shoe off the top.
