How exactly do casinos look out for shuffle trackers as they can sometimes bet big off the top and on some occasions bet opposite to a counters scheme.
consider this scenario.Two guys at a 4 deck Tod a shuffle tracker and Kenny a counter.Tod the tracker has tracked the previuos shuffle and cuts the best half of the deck to the top and estimates an RC of 8 for the 2 deck slug so starts off with an almost max bet,Kenny the counter on the other hand starts off with a min bet as has no clue of what is to come.
Now the cards come out and as the tracker expected a lot of high cards come for the first 2 decks,now Kenny has been winning a lot of hands but still has a small bet out and has even sat out a few hands(also Kenny is looking at Tod and thinks "what a chump! betting high in a negative deck,even worse he is standing and doubling too much")
As the 2nd half of the shoe comes out a lot of small cards come,now the tracker decreases his bet and Kenny increases his bet until the cut card comes and has maybe 8X min out.
Then in the next shoe Kenny has the cut,and cuts so that the worst half of the shoe comes out first.This time both put out a min bet,but a slew of low cards come out and Kenny raises his bets,Tod keeps out his min.now after the 2 deck slug is over the TC is 3,then 6 high cards come out,bringing the TC to 0,now Kenny decreases his bet and Tod increases as he knows the cards of the next 2 decks should be high.
And so it goes on,the pit can almost predict what Kenny is going to do as the cards fall,but they decide to hold back and wait.Whereas they like Tod,he puts out big bets off the top,bets big during neg shoes,takes insurance during neg shoes,doesnt even know basic strategy but the guy is lucky.
anyway during the next few nights Tod plays away the same.Kenny seems to have changed his strategy,now he watches a table for a while before sitting down and puts out a bigger bet than the usual min amount,but man does he move from table to table a lot and how many times has he gone to the bathroom,weak bladder?
Then Kenny goes over to a table,only Tod there,Kenny watches a bit and a lot of smalls hit the table,Tod decreases his bet,Kenny thinks("wrong move fool i am going to hop in here and catch the high count").Kenny throws in a bet,then feels a tap on his shoulder,thats the end of Kenny in this place.Tod then feels a tap on his shoulder turns around and the pit boss says"Good evening sir I see you havent taken advantage of our comps,have a free meal and show on us"
does this type of thing happen much.How can a casino tell if someone is tracking?Bring heat on someone who bets opposite the count?
Watch tapes of the tracker and see if his bigs bets correspond to some sort of pattern corresponding to the previous shoe?
wont all of this take a while?If you are a hit and run tracker how will you get caught?
This to me seems to be the ultimate cover(forget your "i am going to act like a druken loser tonight and they will never know i am counting")
And if it is the ultimate cover then why isnt everyone doing it?