In response to some of the posts on this web site and to the people who want to play professionally or at what ever level. I agree with all that bad swings do and will happen i have been hit bad myself. I have a question to others with simulations. if say you hit a bad swing you cut and run for a few months ect. so i guess what i am saying is does the causual say part time counter have an advandtage over the proffessional counter in avoiding these streaks.
thankx timb
"if say you hit a bad swing you cut and run for a few months ect. so i guess what i am saying is does the causual say part time counter have an advandtage over the proffessional counter in avoiding these streaks."
No advantage relative to the pro. You can't predict when a streak will come simply with conventional counting. Your can have a slightly correlated prediction if you shuffle track.
Counting only lets you determine the remaining composition of high/low cards. An abundance of haigh cards have been shown to increase ev with optimal counting strategy.
Shuffle tracking, you have more information. Going into a good slug you have more +ev. Still the variance is high and so you can not be certain of predicting a streak but more 10's means the dealer busts more. Hence the slight streak correlation.
You can not dodge a bad streak, the next hand of bj is the next no matter when you play again. EVERY HAND IS INDEPENDENT. UNCONNECTED.
Time does not matter, only number of hands matter. This is not Wallstreet.
You are right there. You sound like a Voodoo queen... but sound streetwise informed. "Every hand is independent, unconnected"? But, isn't every hand connected to the mind/body for action?
Blackjack is not a game of independent trials. If it were, everything you had said prior to that point would be incorrect.
sargon
A professional who plays 10 to 15 sessions per month will rarely have a bad streak which lasts longer than 3 months and he can make up for it fairly quickly.
The bad streaks of an occasional player can stretch over years and his modest bankroll might force him to stay away from the game for several months.
Francis Salmon
