A reply and a question..
"It seems like the first hour after the new cards are put into play the cards come out Large, Small. So you have a lot of stiff hands."
-Someone's not washing the cards thoroughly before beginning their shuffle routine! While I have run across this at a few shoe games in the past, and was able to exploit it, I have never seen it as exploitable at 2D games, though "Ace locator" fans may disagree.
@^!
At the shoe games where it happened, I would wait until I saw some "evidence" that the section I was interested in was in fact coming out, (A common trick a lot of trackers do,) and then I'd bet up. Slugs in shoes are large enough to do that with. When it was time for the low end of the spectrum, I'd either bet small or take a bathroom break. In essence I was still slug tracking, just doing it in a different manner.
@^!
Its important to note that even within 6D shoe game (312 cards) the discrepancy (I'll refrain from using the term "bias", for obvious reasons!) in the randomness only lasted maybe 2 shoes at the most before they just became too random to rely on. Generally, it was more like 1 shoe of reliability. But what a nice shoe that would be!
@^D
Unfortunately, in regards to your 2D inquiry, off the top of my head, I think it would be real hard to exploit this. (Again, "Ace locator" folks may disagree.)
The smaller number of cards are the problem.
@^!
If you were to find someone who improperly washes new cards before shuffling, retaining a reliably predictable slug within 104 cards would be even harder than a shoe game, provided that the house shuffle is adequate and the dealer does it properly.
@^(
But lets say you find all of the "necessary ingredients": new cards coming out, poor washing, and an inadequately executed shuffle. You still run into the "evidence" problem. By the time you see enough adequate evidence that the slug is coming out, it would already be over.
Smaller number of cards = smaller slugs.
In this case, I suspect historical data will do you little good.
@^!
However, mine is merely a drop in the vast sea of BJ opinions...
Question:
"The second hour, it seems, the cards start to fall in a better pattern.."
-Exactly what constitutes "a better pattern" to you?
Take care,
@^)
Cyclops