Seeking Bankroll Assistance for Winning Blackjack Strategy

I am a former statistics graduate assistant, and over the last 10 years I have developed what I believe to be a winning blackjack strategy. I have dealt myself thousands of cards, hired professional dealers, and of course seen this strategy work in the casino. 

I seem to have an advantage of about 18% about 1/3 of the time, and I can predict when this advantage takes place. (In contrast, one can achieve a maximum advantage of only about 2% with card counting.). One problem I have been having involves the other 2/3 of the time - making and losing many "rent" bets at the table minimum, and thus being vulnerable to the whims of standard deviation just to be able to keep a seat at the table. Another problem is that my bankroll is not large enough to be able to bet 4-5 times the table minimum when I have the advantage. In actual casino play, the combination of these two problems have been largely responsible for keeping me from overcoming the initial drain of standard deviation, prompting me to post this ad. 

What I propose is that I hire (i.e., pay for), for roughly 4 hours, a professional dealer of your choosing. She will deal cards to me and I will play a mock (i.e., not for 'real' money) session of blackjack at a hotel or some semi-private locale while you watch. I will use different colored chips whose value will constantly change throughout the mock playing session. Only I will know and record the denomination of each chip at the time I am placing each bet so as to disguise when I am making the bigger bets (i.e., when I have the advantage). Afterward, we will go back to record the amount won or lost each round by revealing what the worth of each chip was at the time I made each bet for each round. The purpose of this secrecy is to disguise how the system works. 

After 4 hours (~400 hands) of mock play, I predict that I will be ahead approximately $3,000. The actual outcome should fall between the 2 standard deviation range of about -$764 and +$7,836 about 95.4% of the time. [If I were using no 'advantage play' strategy and just playing perfect basic strategy (which is a losing strategy), the actual outcome should fall between about -$2,210 and +$2,190, or about even.]. As such, and given that this strategy is roughly 9 times as powerful as card counting, which has allowed some players to become millionaires, it is not unrealistic to see that, with adequate cover and strategic, patient play, potentially millions of dollars can be made at high stakes tables with this strategy over the course of time and an accumulating bankroll.

You are only risking a few hours of your time in order to see if my 'system' is something you'd be willing to bankroll. In this manner, you will risk nothing financially to see if my 'system' is something you'd be willing to bankroll. I am looking for interested parties who can afford a bankroll of roughly $1,800 when we actually go to a casino to implement the strategy. At that time, there will be no bets over $200. 

My strategy has nothing to do with card counting or progressions/regressions. 

Please do not ask me to reveal any of the 'system's' details. Please respond only if you are in a position to attend a mock but realistic playing session as detailed above and if you are in a position to bankroll us after you been satisfactorily convinced that we can make some serious, serious money.

Please forward this on to those who you think may be interested.

Sure. We all could do that if we get to choose the value of the bets after the session is over. No one here is going to fall for this scam.

Also, if you really were well versed in statistics, then you would know that 400 hands of live play is not statistically significant.

Gronbog,

You sound angry. I'm not sure what you think gives you the right to call my post a '"scam." There is no place for such derogatory comments on this forum. I put a lot of effort into my post, and you referring to it as such 'contaminates' it. 

Also, I was clear in my post: "...by revealing what the worth of each chip was at the time I made each bet." The value is not chosen after the session; the value is revealed after the session.

Please show some restraint and perhaps even some friendliness in the future. Of course criticism is permitted, but please get clarification first if you aren't clear about what you are criticizing. 

"The value is not chosen after the session; the value is revealed after the session."

Do you not understand how ridiculous this looks to sophisticated players?  I make two bets, one with a red chip and one with a black chip.  I win the red and lose the black.  When I'm done, I reveal to you that the red is worth $25 and the black is worth $5.  See?  My system just won $20!

Or:  I make two bets, one with a red chip and one with a black chip.  I win the black and lose the red.  When I'm done, I reveal to you that the red is worth $5 and the black is worth $25.  See?  My system just won $20!

Do you really think your readers here are imbeciles?

Don

' Another problem is that my bankroll is not large enough to be able to bet 4-5 times the table minimum when I have the advantage'.

Use smaller units.  If your system is as good as you say, you should be able to increase your unit as time goes by.

I assume you will write down the value of the chip colors, fold the paper in half and allow the investor to hold it until the play is done.  If not, then "what Don said"!

How much total bankroll will you need to survive the variance and waiting bets, and if you pop your bets, won't you get heat?  Any ramp betting will bring heat, unless you have a good act.  You probably need both a bankroll and a very good player, unless you can do the act.  As a stats guy, I am guessing you aren't comfortable dressing and acting like a wealthy Spanish bull fighter.

It's even worse than that. He said:

"I will use different colored chips whose value will constantly change throughout the mock playing session"

It's this sleight of hand which is the biggest red flag here.

Yup.  Just a cheap parlor trick.

Don

I apologize; I guess I wasn't clear. Yes, what Snapper said. 

Before Shoe #1, I ask the dealer for, for example, 10 red chips, 10 black chips, and 10 green chips. On a piece of paper titled "Shoe #1 -Pre," we record that I have exactly that: 10 red chips, 10 black chips, and 10 green chips. The investor verifies this to be true. After Shoe #1 is complete, on a piece of paper titled "Shoe #1 - Post," we record what I have (for example, 8 red chips, 7 black chips, and 12 green chips).

Before Shoe #2, I ask the dealer for, for example, 25 white chips, 16 red chips, and 18 black chips. On a piece of paper titled "Shoe #2 - Pre," we record that I have exactly that: 25 white chips, 16 red chips, and 18 black chips." The investor verifies this to be true. After Shoe #2 is complete, on a piece of paper titled "Shoe #2 - Post," we record what I have (for example, 45 white chips, 3 red chips, and 19 black chips). Etc., etc. 

I also have a "Master" document which outlines, ahead of time, what the values of each chips are for each shoe. I use this privately through the mock session to guide me as I make each bet for each round for each shoe. To avoid the perception of me performing a 'bait and switch' with this Master after the mock session is over, there will be an exact copy of this "Master" stored throughout the mock session in a secure location in the same room that the mock session is held. After the mock session is over, the investor will verify the exactness of this copy with respect to the "Master" that I had been using throughout the mock session. The investor will then tally the profit or loss for each shoe using this "Master," eventually coming up with a profit or loss amount for the entire mock session.

Regarding bankroll, as I stated in the original post, I have calculated that a $1,800 bankroll should be sufficient. [Especially compared to the bankroll needed for a counting, I am really not asking for a lot of money, which is one of the nice things about having such a large (about 18%) advantage. But $1,800 is a lot for me.]. Yes, cover will be important. But with such a large advantage, much more cover over a longer period of time (than say, with counting) can be implemented with much less effect on profit. 

Please remember the investor will not 'front' any money until satisfied that I am a man of integrity and that the strategy seems to work. But yes, as we know, it is easily possible to make a profit during a short mock session due to sheer luck or positive variance and without a known mechanism at work. 

Demonstrating statistical significance with my strategy is virtually impossible. Enter effect size and practical significance. 

Thank you to Snapper for communicating in a (mostly) respectful way so that I know exactly what needs clarification within my original post. It seems on this forums (and all? internet forums), people are in a sense seen as guilty until proven innocent. One disadvantage of not being in person will 'you all' and 'you all' not knowing me is that you have no idea of the 'content of my character,' and it is useless (apparently) to try to convince someone, in today's society, of one's integrity over the internet. But I still wish we could communicate disbelief in a respectful way without labels like "scam" or "trick" or "imbeciles." Instead, please consider asking for more information to illuminate any misunderstandings. For example, "Overkill, first of all, 18% seems way too good to be true! Also, how will you ensure the investor is sure that you are being 'above board' with the value of the chips ahead of time?"

The way to accumulate statistically valid data would be to commission a simulation.

Yeah, realistically, there are simulators you can use to get data.

I was going to write a book on gambling scams but I decided to go with another topic. Would have been great to take you up on this offer and interview you just for some good writing material. lol

There's no need to write it down and store it in a "secure location" in the room. Even easier. After the potential investor walks in, step over to the desk and write on a piece of paper the values and then just set it on the table folded up next to where the cards will be played. Immediately afterward it can be inspected without it ever leaving sight of the potential investor.

That all said, I tend to trust the experts here who are convinced this is a scam. But I think my suggestion should suffice to remove potential places where a scammer could introduce a switch.

On a simpler note, if all you need is $1800, just get a part time job or something and work it for however long it takes to collect that much; it isn't _that_ much money. Even if it took you 6 months to accrue, your system is (apparently) good enough that it'll be worth the wait of using your own money so you don't have to report to anyone but yourself.

I hate the idea of anyone investing in my stuff because I want the freedom to fail, which I would emotionally lose if someone else's cash were riding on  <whatever I was doing, perhaps unrelated to casinos or AP>.

Plus, if you avoid the investor, your system is even better protected. This whole situation just makes no sense (a reason I tend to lean toward scam). Save your own money, make yourself rich. :-P

I'll bankroll you, $5,000. I believe anything less wouldnt be enough of an investment for the deviations.

Hotel room, real mock setup with a professional dealer, 2x 3hour sessions.
I will hire the dealer so there is no hanky-panky.
Denominations will be EXACTLY like the a real casino.
I understand you want to hide your system, but I do not care how you play or what you do, I just want a return on my money.

If all goes well and its profitable, my return will be 50% of all winnings.
To a minimum of $20,000. Then you are free to do as you wish.
Interested?

It’s amazing that this kind of stupidity surfaces here. If you want to peddle your bullshit, you can’t do it where knowledgeable players frequent. You need to go somewhere where no one even knows what blackjack is, because your “system” is ridiculous. 

Hello dx2,

If you are serious about bankrolling me, please contact me directly as soon as possible. 

Thanks,
Overkill

OMG ...  Surely you don't seriously think people here will fall for this quite obvious scam ? 



 

I know of a Nigerian Prince that may bankroll you.