This discussion has become unhealthy. How a SCORE number is obtained? Firstly you get EV and SD, and then you get SCORE = (1000 x EV / SD)^2. You have put the cart before the horse.
This discussion has become unhealthy. How a SCORE number is obtained? Firstly you get EV and SD, and then you get SCORE = (1000 x EV / SD)^2. You have put the cart before the horse.
Your comments are made with zero evidence. Cac’s sims agree with my analysis so you have two independent verifications of the results reaching the same conclusion.
In my KO with TCRC article I posted an exhibit comparing HL and KO correlation coefficients for around forty different situations. KO weighted CC were greater than HL weighted CC. Gronbog did over a dozen different simulations for various KO with side counts and HL with side counts combinations. Every single time without exception, when the CC increased, even if just a little, the SCORE increased. So KO weighted CC are greater than HL weighted CC which agrees with Cac’s SCORE of TKO being greater than HL. Also I showed that KO is more accurate than HL around its pivot of a true counts of four where large bets are made which also helps increases the SCORE. And finally KO is a much better primary count to use to add side counts to than HL is.
So everything makes sense and Cac’s sims are in total agreement with my analysis. There are no errors. KO is stronger than HL and is the most powerful blackjack level one count.
For example, the 10 vs. 10 HiLo Double-down EV max deviation index is at TC=+4. Is there a risk averse index for this decision? How to minimize variance while maximize expected value (EV)? What is the math formula here? Please help!
I know Don and Gronbog discussed this a lot, but I really haven’t paid very much attention to this part.
The Hi-Lo RA index for 10 vs T is +7. Find the paper by Joel Friedman or read about them in BJA3. There is no formula. They are computed by iterative simulation.
Well, yes, but there are the formulas on pp. 371-374, especially those of page 372.
Don
Your comments are made with zero evidence. Cac’s sims agree with my analysis so you have two independent verifications of the results reaching the same conclusion.
Let me put it this way. You are a second-hand researcher, heavily relying on other people's work. I'd like to hear what Cac may say about your appendex to his work.
This discussion has become unhealthy.
LMAO!!! For that to be true, it would have had to have been healthy at some point! After Blackjack Rebel writes 42 more times that KO is better than Hi-Lo, I"m going to ask Al to end this thread, as there are only so many times that people ought to read the same tripe ad nauseam.
Don
Right after getting Cac’s sims I said I was done as I got what I wanted. Any other replies I made were in response to others asking questions which I tried best to answer for everyone’s benefit which is the purpose of this website. But now Aceside has taken this too far in his last post that I had to respond to.
You should be criticizing Aceside for making baseless statements that both Cac TKO SCOREs and my KO CC analysis and crc are somehow in error. Aceside made these statements with zero proof. Also I see that your only complaint was that I repeated KO was stronger that HL too much for your liking but you never said that Cac and I were wrong so that means you agree that Cac and I are correct and Aceside is wrong.
So you should be telling this to Aceside and criticizing Aceside and tell Aceside to stop posting baseless claims attacking our KO analysis. Stop Aceside’s baseless claims so that I will not have to respond by repeating that Cac and I are correct.
I don’t know about you but I am all in on the new “industry standard”. Whoops I thought it was April 1st not November 1st. Go to the casino tonight you get an extra hour 😂
Phil
Right after getting Cac’s sims I said I was done as I got what I wanted. Any other replies I made were in response to others asking questions which I tried best to answer for everyone’s benefit which is the purpose of this website. But now Aceside has taken this too far in his last post that I had to respond to.
You should be criticizing Aceside for making baseless statements that both Cac TKO SCOREs and my KO CC analysis and crc are somehow in error. Aceside made these statements with zero proof. Also I see that your only complaint was that I repeated KO was stronger that HL too much for your liking but you never said that Cac and I were wrong so that means you agree that Cac and I are correct and Aceside is wrong.
So you should be telling this to Aceside and criticizing Aceside and tell Aceside to stop posting baseless claims attacking our KO analysis. Stop Aceside’s baseless claims so that I will not have to respond by repeating that Cac and I are correct.
If I criticized aceside for every baseless claim he made, my life would be over and I'd be spending 24/7 on the endeavor. So, do us all a favor and just LET IT GO. You do NOT have to have the last word. Learn to be quiet. Failing this, I'm just going to end the thread. And if new ones on the same topic pop up, people are going to start to be banned.
A word to the wise.
Don
Likewise, I try to pick my spots when refuting aceside's nonsense lately. I try to do it when he posts something that might sound believable to someone just getting started.
