New to the board, go easy on me

Hello everyone, I am brand new to this board and fairly new to AP blackjack.  I've known how to count for the last couple of years - strictly out of curiosity - and never really put much effort into developing this skill to my advantage; until recently...  Over the last few months, I've really immersed myself into AP blackjack and learning more about counting to gain an edge against the house, and entertaining the idea of becoming a weekend warrior/ AP BJ side-hustle.  

A quick synopsis of my game, I can play perfect basic strategy and can count, just not well enough to take to a live casino.... I do feel I will be ready to go live soon... hopefully... 

In any case, the purpose of this thread is to get your thoughts on a betting system I recently heard about.  Now before you throw me into the lions den, I understand betting systems are the best way to lose an entire bankroll.  I'm bringing it up here because it's kind of unique but was hoping someone who is a lot better at math than me could put some numbers to the strategy.  To be quite honest, I thought about potentially using this system for the short term as a way to "gamble" into a bigger bankroll while work on perfecting my AP.  Obviously, I realize it's aggressive.  I would be starting with a bankroll I can afford to lose but with a little bit of luck, and positive variance, I could POTENTIALLY build the bankroll big enough to be able to use AP at tables who offer better games.  My local casino, the better games (DD, 3:2 BJ, DAS, S17) all have a $25 minimum.  At a 1-5 bet spread to start, that's a $12,500 bankroll which I just don't have at the moment.. 

So here it is...

Quick synopsis:  You are basically giving yourself a 4 hand session to be +1 unit.  1 unit is 100x your bankroll.  After a win, you increase your bet +1 unit until you've won 3 in a row in which you stay on a 3 unit bet until you lose.  After a loss, you double your bet until you've reached 4 straight losses; which in reality happens pretty often.  After 4 straight losses, you assess bank roll amount, x 100 and that is your new unit.  

For this example, let's assume I am playing a 6 deck shoe, H17, DAS game- $25 min - $1000 max .  Starting Bankroll $3k = $30 unit.  Repeat last bet after every push.  

• Starting Hand:  $30 bet
  • Win:  $60 bet next hand
    • Win:  $90 bet next hand
      • Win:  $90 bet until you lose... keeping in mind 1 unit = bankroll * .100 so increase accordingly
  • Lose:  $60 bet next hand
    • Win:  Back to $30/ 1 unit
    • Lose:  $120 bet
      • Win:  Back to $30/ 1 unit 
      • Lose:  $240 bet
        • Win:  Back to $30 bet/ 1 unit
        • Lose:  Back to $30 bet/ 1 unit
  • Push:  Stay at $60 - this will get you back to starting hand amount
    • Lose:  $120 bet
      • Win:  Back to $30/ 1 unit
    • Lose:  $240 bet
      • Win:  Back to $30/ 1 unit 
      • Lose:  Your bank roll would be at $2,550 which would reduce your unit to $25

My immediate "unqualified" opinion was you have three unit bets on the table when the cards are hot, and you are giving yourself 4 hands to get back to +1 unit.  The main key being you can not double that 5th hand after 4 losses... I can see that being a problem for most gamblers but I have pretty good discipline to take emotions out of the game and just execute a strategy... I need this mindset for my day job too... 

I assume the risk of ruin for this strategy is pretty aggressive.  I was hoping one of our expert/ mathematicians could figure that out pretty easily...  

Again, I realize betting systems are a losers game in the long-run.. Essentially I was hoping this would be a more "conservative" (oxymoron?) approach to a bankroll building quick scheme.... 

I have thick skin so let me have it!  :)

Thanks in advance for any insight/ talking me out of stupidity... 
 

Just flat bet and wong out at -1 TC until you know what you are doing.

"1 unit is 100x your bankroll."

Let's hope you mean 1 unit is 1/100 of your bankroll!!

Finally, the short answer to your proposal is that it doesn't matter what scheme you apply to betting your money.  Eventually, you're going to lose the amount you bet multiplied by the house edge you're playing against, since you aren't counting.

Don

Welcome to the right place.

Eliminate concepts such as "hot"!  That is ploppy-speak.  The order that cards are dealt is random.  This creates variance.  Variance can be low or great but never hot or cold.  Greater variance is often referred to as a streak by ploppies.  It's not a bad slang term as long as you realize a streak is unpredictable and you use the term in a general way.  Dont use it to discuss strategy.  You cannot know when one will start, which direction it will go or how long it will last.  The term streak is further problematic because it has no defined length and the reader doesn't know if it included some a certain number of losses/wins, doubles, splits, or pushes, nor when those other results occurred.  Was your losing streak l-l-p-w-p-l-l-l and did you raise any of your wagers with the count or split or double or reduce any wagers.  Streak should only be used in very casual terms, if at all.  You might say, "I''ve had a nice run this year.  I'm on a ten consecutive session winning streak." Note the past tense usage!

Save hot and cold to describe the temperature of your drinks.

Your betting scheme is ridiculous.  It confused me even before I started reading it.

I hope you aren't a troll, but in case you are, I will stop there for now.  Good luck.

Yeah, that's what I meant...  Thanks for catching that! 

Good to know.. I know hot and cold "streaks" aren't real and that's it's more having sessions with positive and negative variance.  I will admit that I am probably a bit of a ploppy at the moment.  I'm brand new to the AP/ counting community so I'm still trying to understand the jargon and acronyms.  I still have a lot to work on with my game outside of keeping an accurate count and playing perfect strategy.  Bank roll management, bet spreads, risk, EV, calculating standard deviation.  I haven't made the plunge yet, but I plan on buying CVCX software once I feel comfortable taking my game live.     

I see now my original post did not go through in the format I wrote it in.  Not sure how to format the betting scheme without the way I originally had it.  After thinking about it more, I will likely find the best game, stick to basic strategy and flat bet until I have a comfortable feel for counting and bet spreads.  

Oh, and I'm definitely not trolling. Although that was something I anticipated people would assume..   In any case, I appreciate the feedback and look forward to using this site as a resource to advance my play.  If you have any other resources that have helped you, feel free to point me in that direction as well!