I have been seeing most of my big bets
drawing hands like 14 and 15. If I have 20 the dealer draws 20 or 21. Losing for 6 straight months and my b.r. has dropped 30%.
Have blown thru a good chunk of $$. That's one thing, but I accept that as the risk of this venture.
I'm inside my own head now, questioning things. The one self-criticism I have to make is playing TOO MUCH. You can't play and calculate, when you're tired. I'm paying closer attention to how much I play, getting my rest and getting in at optimal hours.
My bankroll is still large enough to handle $10-$20 Omaha. That's where I intend to go next. I've resolved not to play BJ unless conditions are absolutely pristine.
.....and what does your bet ramp look like. I forgot to ask you this when we met up this summer.
It would be similar to something Canfield has published. -1 for 3-7, +1 for 9/10. I use a denominator = number of cards remaining. So, I divide +/- by N cards remaining, to approximate +/- (per 100 cards remaining).
As for betting ramp, I do push up from 1 unit to 2 units even when the edge is minimal. Won't say I have a defined ramp. Just bet as much as I can get away with, when edge is +EV. Sometimes I over-do it, and I realize that this does push the variance thru the roof. I realize that my aggressive bets raise my "probability of ruin." For sure this has contributed to my recent bad run. In most of the games I've been playing, I couldn't ask for a higher bet ratio. And at 90% of the shops, their tolerance for high bet ratios has been very good.
Why have you selected M Canfield when Zen is so much better? That's rather weird.
It would be similar to something Canfield has published. -1 for 3-7, +1 for 9/10.
Don't you mean +1 for 3 thru 7 and -1 for 9 and 10s.
For my purposes, I think of "small" as -1 and "big" as +1.
But you are correct.
I tweaked the indices a bit, for my purposes.
Until recently, I've never really played enuf to use a 2-level index.
Canfield system doesn't recognize the Ace, and the Ace is a valuable card for the player. You need a systen the has a high betting correlation especially if you are playing mostly shoe games. I believe the Canfield system was designed mostly for single deck games which are almost non-existent now.
Bob, I know you are very good at math and numbers and could easily handle something like "Wong Halves" with a little bit of practice. If you feel Halves is too hard why don't you just use "Hi-Lo".
As you can see from this chart the Canfield system has a very low betting correlation.
http://www.qfit.com/card-counting.htm
By the way, I never told you what counting system I use. I started out with Hi Low many years ago and then switched to Halves which I use today.
counting system.
When I've played 1/2-deck in the past, I attempted to side-count the Aces.
was not the counting but no longer the ability to quickly cancell out pairs of cards like a 10 and 6. There is just more to count so it does take longer.
