First Base Best last post I promise

In a 2 deck game 50 cards have been dealt out. The player on first base knows 50 out of 50 of those cards before getting his first card. He knows everything there is to know before getting his first card. The player on third base makes his bet based on those 50 cards. But 6 more cards are dealt out before he gets his first card. He only knew 50 out of 56 cards before getting his first card. The player on first base had more accurate info. True or False?

Both players are sizing their bets with exactly the same information.
None of the players no the exact order in wich the cards will be dealt. You know the order of the cards in the deck????

Finally, the player on 3rd base will have more accurate info FOR PLAYING DECISIONS.

You need to completely rethink how you analyze this situation. Your thought process shows a fundamental misunderstanding of probablility theory.

Don

I concede that third base is better for playing decisions and I was wrong to suggest (actually I only questioned) that first base is the best spot without considering the relative importance of third base having more info for better playing decisions. But now I'm writing just about bet sizing decisions. Regarding bet sizing the player at third base has more info but he cannot use that info because he cannot change the size of his bet. 50 cards have been dealt out. The player at first base knows all 50 - he has 100% up to date info on the cards that have been played out before sizing his bet and getting his first card. Third base has that info also but 6 more cards will be played out before he gets his first card. He sized his bet knowing that he could only know 50 out of 56 cards roughly 89% before getting his first card. Isn't the player at first best better off because he knew 100% of the cards played out before sizing his bet and getting his first card? The player on third base had to size his bet knowing that he could only know 89% of the cards that have been played out before he gets his first card.

Long answer: noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo! ;-)

If you carefully consider the situation, you'll find the error of your ways.

Dog Hand

... the question has been asked and answered.

You said, above, that you promised it was your last post on the subject. We all understand what you are writing; please believe that. We also all have told you that, no, your reasoning is incorrect.

I don't mean to be unkind, but our answer isn't going to change even if you decide to ask the same question a few more times.

Don

The shoe has a count and all players, regardless of where they sit make a bet based on the count at that point in time. Even assuming the player at 1st base gets his cards ahead of the 3rd base player he has no special access to better cards just because he draws first giving him no special advantage.

Third base is still the better spot to sit at on a very modest basis because he gets to see all of the other players hands and hit cards before making his decision on how to PLAY his hand. In terms of betting advantage all players are equal no matter where they might sit.