3 of 6 decks remaining. Should I or shouldn't I?
Say my betting unit is $25?
What about $250?
Books say I should, but damn, shouldn't I be scared?
You don't say anything about your counting system.Default here is hilo so I assume that.
The index for doubling soft19v4 is +3.5 regardless of penetration.If you are at midshoe you need a running count of +11 to make doubling worthwhile.
Actually, your strategy shouldn't depend on the size of your bet.
but if you are too scared, just leave it, you won't loose much.
Francis Salmon
The source I use for RA indices says double at TC=>4 for S17, slightly less for H17.
I happened to get this hand yesterday and made the play. I won, rest of table lost when dealer made her hand instead of busting. Player next to me was so annoyed that he left, giving me the spot I needed to play two hands. The result was very satisfying.
True Count 3
sorry
Good for you!
.jpg)
then you are overbetting. If you have the proper bankroll, then no hand will scare you! Some hands may excite you, some will disappoint you, but none will scare you. Furthermore, if you play enough, you will be indifferent to all of the hands. You'll only care about your overall income goal....at least that's what the pros seem to indicate. I see it a bit differently. A good hand is like a warm sales prospect - you hae a high expectation of closing it, thus, it's a bit exciting.
Last week the count was high and so I bet my max bet. I got a pair of 7's vs dealer's 6. I split the 7's, only to have to split and resplit again. I ended up with four hands, 7,8 7,4 7,2 and 7,K. Of course I doubled the 7,4 and 7,2 in each case getting small cards that left me with a 15-17 I don't recall for sure. So at this point, I have 6 times my max bet that is based on a 1/2 Kelly calculation of my entire bankroll (not what is in my pocket for this hour of play at the local casino.
I'm a small time player and was a bit nervous with that much on the table but I still was feeling pretty good looking at the dealer's 6 with the count being even higher than it was when I bet initially.
However, when the dealer flipped their hole card to reveal a 5, I was more than a bit nervous, even approaching "scared". Despite my intellectual agreement, emotions to come into play.
"However, when the dealer flipped their [his] hole card to reveal a 5, I was more than a bit nervous, even approaching 'scared.'"
You mean you're not going to tell us what suit the ten was? :-)
Don
of the dealer drawing to 17+ versus busting. If you know the answer, you may not have been nervous. I don't know the answer, but when I'm in this situation, I'm still hoping the dealer busts. It would be good to "show" some fear though, otherwise the house may think you're counting. Most ploppies would be ticked and steam a bit, then show relief when the 6, K of hearts coms out.
I guess we'll never know if he won or not DS. I haven't slept in 2 days since reading the post!
... it turned out to not be a very good session. :-)
Right there with you this trip =) Very similar thing happened to me early yesterday morning.
