All, thanks for reading this. I look forward to your insight.
I am retired and have been studying blackjack and card counting for some time now. I cannot say I have it down by any means. Counting at the table is much different from training at home. Regardless, I intend to get to the point where I am comfortable in the casino.
I am not looking to make a career of card counting. And while I have no bankroll concerns, I just want to play recreationally a few hours a week (probably < 20 hours a month) and at low stakes, mainly green chips. I live in an area where there are several casinos nearby with decent rules, but I also know from the CBJN report that they are quick to back off. Most of the ones close by are connected and so a backoff at one will likely result in a backoff at the others. I expect when I get so I can count and bet correctly, I will have to moderate my spread to some degree to try and stay under the radar.
I know this question is unanswerable, variance and all, and yet here I am asking it. All this being the case is it even worth doing anything other than flat betting using basic strategy? Am I thinking incorrectly?
by: ether_ore
All, thanks for reading this. I look forward to your insight.
I am retired and have been studying blackjack and card counting for some time now. I cannot say I have it down by any means. Counting at the table is much different from training at home. Regardless, I intend to get to the point where I am comfortable in the casino.
I am not looking to make a career of card counting. And while I have no bankroll concerns, I just want to play recreationally a few hours a week (probably < 20 hours a month) and at low stakes, mainly green chips. I live in an area where there are several casinos nearby with decent rules, but I also know from the CBJN report that they are quick to back off. Most of the ones close by are connected and so a backoff at one will likely result in a backoff at the others. I expect when I get so I can count and bet correctly, I will have to moderate my spread to some degree to try and stay under the radar.
I know this question is unanswerable, variance and all, and yet here I am asking it. All this being the case is it even worth doing anything other than flat betting using basic strategy? Am I thinking incorrectly?
by: ether_ore
With a limited number of hands the results will be random or just seem to be if lucky or not. The positive earnings with counting are only more probable with a very large number of hands. Blackjack is extremely random. With a large number of hands and counting, increasing bet with the count, the $ risk is very high but there is a stronger possibility of winning.
The $ risk is lower if playing the minimum bet and basic strategy and possibly some strategy variations. Always play the correct strategy. The smaller the bet spread the lower the $ risk. But with a very large number of hands not increasing the bet will very likely result in losing. With increasing bets you have to bring more $ to the casino or have more $ available and be willing to risk more $s.
