No simulation needed.
Hello,
It's been about 10 years since I've been on this site. My question:
I tracked 3 out of 5 players playing 30 "real-time" shoes and came out ahead about 100% of the time. The 'system' is to bet $1000 on the first hand of the shoe, $10 on the second hand, $1000 on the 3rd hand, $10 on the fourth hand, etc. Can someone help me spot the fatal flaw in this betting 'system?' Also, can please someone run this through a couple of million hand simulator?
There is no reason to believe that this system will work. The cards simply don't know that you are supposed to win every other hand.
Here is the math:
Assuming the house advantage is 0.5% and you play perfect basic strategy, on average you will lose $5 per $1000 bet and $0.025 per $5 bet. Nothing in your system changes that.
On the other hand, if you learn to count cards....
P.S.: I find it difficult to believe that your system came out ahead 30 out of 30 shoes.