BASIC STRATEGY ONLY

On a scale of 1 to 10, my math skills rank at about 2, but I disagree with your opinion that one must reject two centuries of probability theory in order to accept my viewpoint.
Analogy: I assume that mathematics played a major role in the development of our new missile defense system, and that computer simulations of mathematical projections verified that the system was workable. Recent "live" tests resulted in 2 of 6 missiles failing to perform as predicted. One could easily argue that the math is correct and the computer simulations are correct, but "human intervention" caused the high failure rate and the difference between projected probability and actual outcome.
It's possible that this same "human intervention" can alter probability projections at the blackjack table, and I think efforts to investigate this possibility are reasonable... which I've spent a lot of time doing for the last three years!

The fact that the missiles failed doesn't disprove the laws of physics. Cogent explanations for the failures can be given using physics and, yes, the theory of probability. The "math boys" weren't proven "wrong," in any sense of the word, by those tests.

You haven't just claimed that the effects of human intervention need "investigation." You've consistently claimed you have the answer. By analogy, you are claiming to have a superior knowledge of physic that could have predicted those missile failures, and you're telling people to bet on your predictions. This is my final post in this thread. I wish you'd either STOP, or get a whole hell of a lot more humble in offering predictions.

ETF

ive actually had more bad luck than good luck, i just happen to quit at the right time...

my max loss is never more than my min win....

i go for conservative figures, thats why i win, not because ive been lucky...

Contrary to what all of you people say, progressions do work! I employ a 2,2,3,4 negative progression,(add as I loss, subtract as I win. It provides strict loss limits(11 units), but has the flexibility for win goals (4-6 units easily, or?) On what is essentially a 50/50 game, if you're out to a 4 unit bet, that means the trend has developed against you, and will probably continue!! You have to have the discipline to leave the table, and live to fight another day! My average time at a table is usually 10 or so minutes, since this progression works well in wlwl or wwlllwwlwlw etc situations. The odds of losing 4 in a row right out of the gate are 11:1. My success rate is 75-80%. The key is to limit your loses!! Try it, it does work. It helps pay for alot of my trips and shows to Vegas, especially between craps sessions!!