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Since you brought it up
Posted By: 6deckShoe In Response To: Wrong again, as usual! (Walter Thomason)
Date: 5 Mar 02, 3:38 pm
In Response To: Wrong again, as usual! (Walter Thomason)
Since you brought it up, I'll tell you how I was betting.
I never went to the casino with more than $50 in my pocket, often with only $20. I always play the $5 table because if I want to I can bet more. It wasn't until a few months went by that I started using the $25 table and making much larger bets.
I would wait until the beginning of a shoe to sit down. I start by placing single minimum bets until I see a pattern develop, usually 1/3 through the shoe. Then I would start playing 2 hands at a time, alternating 2 hands, 1 hand, 2 hands, 1 hand, and so on. Occassionally to move the deck the other way, I'd move up to 3 hands or stay out of one hand. I found that by alternating the number of hands played, I could "rotate" the cards a bit...yes I'm aware it doesn't really happen that way but it sure seemed to. When I had at least $100 in front of me, I started making larger bets, but stuck to my number of hands method. Eventually I gained the attitude that you NEVER play your bet, you play your cards. Those chips are just chunks of plastic that don't effect the outcome unless you let them.
I observed that people playing minimum bets took chances they wouldn't take with larger bets. I learned not to do that. If I'm going to take a chance its based on the cards, not the size of the bet.
Eventually I moved up to the $25 table consistently, bringing $200 with me (strictly winnings) and playing the same style, same method, same philosophy. In the back of my mind was "no guts no glory" attitude. I proved to myself that the size of the bet had no bearing on the game...I was playing the cards, not the chips.
For me, alternating between one hand and multiple hands really worked. I like playing multiple hands better because it gives me the advantage of turning a loss into a break even.....if you don't lose, you've won because you have the same money BUT you've been able to keep playing. That also worked for me.
I don't know what progressive betting is, but you're right about an observational analysis...that's exactly what I did. I would watch the fall of thecards and notice that a whole lot of small cards were coming out and large cards were due. I'd raise my bets. If a lot of large cards were coming out before me, I'd play as if the dealer had 20 but I'd play to bust the dealer if I could.
Perhaps without realizing it I was playing some sort of established strategy, but from where I sat, I made my discoveries on my own. I don't know. I think it was skill to a point. I mean, if it was sheer luck, then that would explain the occassional big win for a week or two...but consistently huge wins 3-5 times per week for 6 months straight????
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